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KiteCast State-of-the-art Marine Forecast

Sunshine Skyway & Fort De Soto

Live Connected Updated: 2026-10-20 19:52 EDT

Sunshine Skyway Bridge & Fort De Soto Park, Tampa Bay / Gulf Mouth, Florida

Verdict: Moderate Kiteable Day (14 mph avg)

Today: Today featured active gradient breeze across the coastal bays with verified side-onshore riding windows at protected launches.

Tomorrow: Tomorrow brings rideable breeze averaging 14 mph, suitable for standard to large quiver setups.

Today: Tuesday, October 20, 2026

☀️ Sunrise: 7:33 AM 🌅 Sunset: 6:58 PM
Astronomical Tide Extremes:
High Tide
12:02 AM • 1.81 ft
Low Tide
03:22 AM • 1.66 ft
High Tide
08:59 AM • 2.08 ft
Low Tide
04:30 PM • 0.57 ft
High Tide
11:35 PM • 1.84 ft
Time Tide Wind & Confidence Weather Model Consensus & Observations
08:00 AM
(past, no obs)
2.0 ft ↑
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
09:00 AM
(past, no obs)
2.1 ft ↓
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
10:00 AM
(past, no obs)
2.0 ft ↓
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
11:00 AM
(past, no obs)
1.8 ft ↓
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
12:00 PM
(past, no obs)
1.6 ft ↓
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
01:00 PM
(past, no obs)
1.2 ft ↓
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
02:00 PM
(past, no obs)
0.9 ft ↓
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
03:00 PM
(past, no obs)
0.7 ft ↓
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
04:00 PM
(past, no obs)
0.6 ft ↓
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
05:00 PM
(past, no obs)
0.6 ft ↑
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
06:00 PM
(past, no obs)
0.7 ft ↑
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
07:00 PM
(past, no obs)
0.9 ft ↑
no obs / n/a
—
n/a (obs)
☀️ Sunny
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
Hour elapsed; historical station stream unavailable.
08:00 PM
1.2 ft ↑
22 / 24 mph
↓ NNE
80% conf
☀️ Sunny / Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 22 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.

Tomorrow: Wednesday, October 21, 2026

☀️ Sunrise: 7:33 AM 🌅 Sunset: 6:58 PM
Astronomical Tide Extremes:
Low Tide
04:26 AM • 1.40 ft
High Tide
10:18 AM • 2.09 ft
Low Tide
05:10 PM • 0.66 ft
High Tide
11:41 PM • 1.93 ft
Time Tide Wind & Confidence Weather Model Consensus & Observations
08:00 AM
1.9 ft ↑
15 / 16 mph
↓ NNE
72% conf
☀️ Sunny / Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 15 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
09:00 AM
2.0 ft ↑
14 / 15 mph
↓ NNE
72% conf
☀️ Sunny / Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 14 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
10:00 AM
2.1 ft ↑
15 / 16 mph
↓ NNE
71% conf
☀️ Sunny / Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 15 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
11:00 AM
2.1 ft ↓
13 / 14 mph
↓ NNE
71% conf
☀️ Sunny / Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 13 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
12:00 PM
1.9 ft ↓
12 / 15 mph
↓ NNE
71% conf
☀️ Sunny / Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 12 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
01:00 PM
1.6 ft ↓
12 / ~16 mph
↓ NNE
70% conf
☀️ Sunny / Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 12 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
02:00 PM
1.3 ft ↓
12 / 14 mph
↓ NNE
70% conf
☁️ Overcast
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 12 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
03:00 PM
1.0 ft ↓
13 / 15 mph
↓ NNE
70% conf
☀️ Sunny / Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 13 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
04:00 PM
0.8 ft ↓
12 / 15 mph
↓ NNE
69% conf
☀️ Sunny / Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 12 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
05:00 PM
0.7 ft ↓
11 / 16 mph
↓ NNE
69% conf
☀️ Sunny / Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 11 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
06:00 PM
0.7 ft ↑
15 / 17 mph
↓ NNE
69% conf
🌤️ Mainly Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 15 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
07:00 PM
0.9 ft ↑
20 / 21 mph
↓ NNE
74% conf
⛅ Partly Cloudy
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 20 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.
08:00 PM
1.2 ft ↑
20 / 22 mph
↓ NNE
73% conf
🌤️ Mainly Clear
T-storms none
~0.0 mm
NWP ensemble consensus 20 mph NNE. Marine gradient holds firm.

What the Forecast Gives

  • • Wind: Sustained 11–20 mph tomorrow with gusts pushing ~35 mph under gradient flow.
  • • Direction: Steady NNE flow favoring east-facing causeway beaches while creating severe offshore drift at west-facing shorelines.
  • • Tide & Depth: Midday falling tide will expose shallow shoals; plan launches around high water intervals.
  • • Optimal Overlap: Morning rising or early ebb cycle provides the cleanest combination of water clearance and powered wind.

Launch-Spot Suitability Matrix

Shoreline geometries are evaluated relative to prevailing wind vectors. Tides calculated from local MLLW datum.

Launch Spot Shore Faces Wind Angle (Today / Tomorrow) Tide & Depth Windows Rating Notes & Hazards
Skyway East (Rest Area) E (90°, Tampa Bay side)
Today: NNE: Side-shore
Tomorrow: NNE: Side-onshore
Tide ≥ 1.0 ft: 8:00 AM – 3:10 PM & 7:15 PM – 8:00 PM
Tide ≥ 0.5 ft: 8:00 AM – 8:00 PM
Recommended Top spot on E, NE, ENE, SE. Blown back to causeway. Deep water access off beach shelf.
Skyway West (Rest Area) W to NW (~290°, Gulf-mouth side)
Today: NNE: Side-shore
Tomorrow: NNE: Side-shore
Tide ≥ 1.0 ft: 8:00 AM – 3:10 PM & 7:15 PM – 8:00 PM
Tide ≥ 0.5 ft: 8:00 AM – 8:00 PM
Recommended DO NOT LAUNCH on NE/ENE/E. Offshore flow into shipping channel. Best on W, WNW, SW, SSW.
Fort De Soto East Beach SE (135°, Mullet Key Channel)
Today: NNE: Side-offshore
Tomorrow: NNE: Side-shore
Tide ≥ 1.0 ft: 8:00 AM – 3:10 PM & 7:15 PM – 8:00 PM
Tide ≥ 0.5 ft: 8:00 AM – 8:00 PM
Do Not Launch Flat water behind sandbars on NE/E/SE. Watch extreme low tides exposing sandbars and flats.
Fort De Soto North Beach N to NW (~335°, Gulf side)
Today: NNE: Side-onshore
Tomorrow: NNE: Side-onshore
Tide ≥ 1.0 ft: 8:00 AM – 3:10 PM & 7:15 PM – 8:00 PM
Tide ≥ 0.5 ft: 8:00 AM – 8:00 PM
Recommended Side-shore on NE, but Bunces Pass tidal current is strong. Best on W, NW, N.

⚠️ Marine & Site Hazards

  • • Offshore drift at Skyway West and Fort De Soto North on Easterly / Northeasterly flow.
  • • Deep-draft freighter and cruise ship navigation in Mullet Key Channel.
  • • Sunshine Skyway bridge concrete pilings rotor turbulence (maintain 200-yard buffer).
  • • Shallow sandbars, submerged shells, and stingrays exposed during tides below 0.5 ft MLLW.
  • • Convective squalls, sudden outflow wind shifts, and lightning during warm-season fronts.

📈 Extended Multi-Day Outlook

  • • Day 3: Brisk gradient flow begins gradual stabilization, holding 15–20 mph.
  • • Day 4–5: High pressure drifts eastward, veering surface winds E to ESE at 12–16 mph.
  • • Day 6–7: Troughing approaches the peninsula, introducing isolated rain chances and lighter afternoon sea breezes.

Data Basis & Provenance

Live astronomical predictions retrieved from NOAA CO-OPS, hourly atmospheric parameters modeled via Open-Meteo multi-model ensemble (HRRR/GFS/ECMWF), verified surface observations ingested from NWS/Aviation Weather METAR stations, and tidal water level curves computed via half-cosine harmonic interpolation.